Launch metadata, market state, one social page, and 12 bounded trade slices.
Pump.fun · social + on-chain market structure
What actually happens
when a token launches?
A four-hour, evidence-first view of narrative ignition, graduation, and the wallet cohorts still waiting to be proven.
seed launches02
median graduation5.0m
median ATH retained55.3%
taxonomyv0.1
streaming fast path · 10s budget
Paste a contract address.
Watch the evidence arrive.
Launch and market facts stream first. Wallet behavior follows from a temporally balanced sample; exact backfills remain the reference cases below.
try a backfilled case
launchwaiting
marketwaiting
socialwaiting
walletswaiting
01
No signup, no wallet connection. The scan reads public launch, market, social, and transaction-indexed sources.
how this becomes production-grade
Query the stream now.
Pre-aggregate the truth next.
PumpPortal and Solana subscriptions write immutable trades, transfers, and mentions.
One-minute token facts, wallet positions, repeat-entry history, and funding edges update continuously.
The CA box reads pre-aggregates immediately; the four-hour reconciler certifies exact snapshots later.
24h survivor57.3%of ATH retained
Graduation6.4m
Snapshot mcap$3.16M
ATH$5.51M
Time to ATH19h 11m
event-time anatomy
T−30m → T+4h
T−30mmintT+1hT+2hT+4h
T−15.8mNarrative appearsNarrative appearsThe linked X trend predates the token.T+0mMintMintToken created on Pump.fun.T+0.0mLaunch postLaunch postReaction post references a claimed bundle.T+6.4mGraduationGraduationPumpSwap pool appears.T+8.1mObserved CA waveObserved CA waveFirst contract-address post in the sampled response.outside primary windowATH at T+19h 11m
The four-hour anatomy remains fixed; outcomes continue at 24h and 72h checkpoints.
segmentation, not vibes
Every label carries its receipts.
Axes are independent, timestamped, and allowed to remain unknown. A graduation outcome never substitutes for distribution evidence.
Narrative originhigh confidence
External trend capture
Social ignitionhigh confidence
Creator-synchronous
Lifecyclehigh confidence
Fast graduation, delayed expansion
Wallet structuremedium confidence
Behavioral cohorts observed
Creator wallet observedThe creator bought 5 SOL at mint and fully exited inside the four-hour window.Cross-seed repeatTwenty-nine wallets entered both seed launches inside five minutes; this is behavioral overlap, not proof of coordination.Provenance remains partialNo shared-funder label is emitted: the public RPC resolved none in the 24-wallet sample.
observed wallet cohorts
Behavior first. Identity never assumed.
A complete T+4h census of fills at or above 0.1 SOL. Primary segments are mutually exclusive; wallets remain pseudonymous actors, not people.
82377.1%
Fast round-tripper
10.1%
Creator-linked
292.7%
Cross-seed early buyer
141.3%
Other early buyer
191.8%
Early accumulator
18117.0%
Later participant
partial provenance0/24 sampled funders resolved
The public RPC returned 15 unavailable histories and 9 with no qualifying transfer observed. No shared-funder cohort is claimed; unavailable is not negative evidence.
classification contract v0.2
The taxonomy stays stricter than the story.
These are the admissible evidence rules. Some remain empty because the available evidence does not justify emitting them.
01Creator-linked
Direct funding, transfers, or repeated counterparty relationship with the creator.
evidence-gated02Shared-funder cohort
Multiple early buyers funded by the same upstream wallet before entry.
evidence-gated03Cross-seed early buyer
The same wallet enters both seed launches inside the first five minutes.
evidence-gated04Fast round-tripper
At least 80% of acquired tokens are sold within 30 minutes of first entry.
evidence-gated05Early accumulator
First buy lands inside five minutes and at least 50% of acquired tokens remain after four hours.
evidence-gated06Other early buyer
First buy lands inside five minutes without satisfying a higher-precedence segment.
evidence-gated07Later participant
First qualifying buy lands after five minutes without a fast round-trip.
evidence-gated08Insufficient evidence
The default when history, funding provenance, or timing coverage is incomplete.
defaultinspect the harness
The polished story stays queryable.
The terminal exposes the same classifications, evidence boundaries, and quality states used by the visual layer.
dataset loaded: 2 launches · taxonomy v0.2
wallet behavior loaded; provenance coverage remains explicit
data contract
Coverage is part of the result.
Launch snapshot 8/12/2026, 11:05:00 AM UTC
wallet backfill 8/12/2026, 12:16:45 PM UTC
Launch metadata
Mint, creator, timestamps, and linked social sources captured from Pump.fun.
Market state
Pools and market snapshots reconciled against Dexscreener.
Social mentions
Exact-CA search returned the provider page cap; time-sliced pagination is required.
Wallet cohorts
Four-hour behavior is complete above 0.1 SOL per fill; funding provenance is a 24-wallet sample.